Snow Update (↑ 2.5/10)

Hey all

Want a quick update on the snow forecasted for tomorrow evening?

Arctic front and residual moisture look to create  flurries for coastal sections of B.C beginning late Friday afternoon for eastern Vancouver Island and eastern Fraser Valley, and into the evening/overnight for the Lower Mainland and southern Vancouver Island. The event will quickly wrap  up for southern portions by Saturday morning.

The won't be a widespread impactful snow event for the South Coast with some locations likely seeing very little accumulation...

The model below is somewhat accurate, but will not likely verify as reality --  But, it does an okay job of showing a couple convergence zones that may be possible with the snowfall.

THE GOODS

The model is likely overdone for eastern Vancouver Island and underdone for southern Vancouver island around Duncan. For Vancouver, little accumulation in Richmond/Delta and more North and East.

Abbotsford, Coquitlam, Port Moody could see a couple cm's as of now. The higher elevations in Burnaby and Surrey also need to be watched for localized accumulation along with the North Shore.

The odd's that portions of Metro Vancouver sees at least a couple cm of snow right now is only at 60-70%. I'm sorry I can't give you a higher figure.

The Inland Hwy (19A) on eastern Vancouver Island is often 100-150 metres above sea level so accumulations are more likely on this stretch of roadway than directly adjacent to Georgia Strait.

A higher resolution CDN model tells a little different story...

Once the upper level trough swings through Saturday AM and scour out any moisture we had to work with for this 'snow' event. We remain dry and cool with outflow winds developing on Saturday with locally higher gusts.

#50shadesofVan

forgot to include: But those who are fans of the probabilistic approach...