100th Blog Post

Since my first blog post back late last summer, I've composed one-hundred posts about our quirky weather in (I hope) a fresh and interesting way.

I want to sincerely thank all my avid readers and supporters over the past 9 months. Your support is VERY much appreciated. 

Cheers and here's to the next 100!

- #50ShadesofVan 

Teaser for next week. Read ahead to find some compelling evidence for another warming trend by next week Map: GEFS ensembles for 500 mb heights (Hint: red = upper level ridge)

Teaser for next week. Read ahead to find some compelling evidence for another warming trend by next week

Map: GEFS ensembles for 500 mb heights (Hint: red = upper level ridge)


last week May started off the warmest since at least before the year 2000, and next week there's already rumblings of temperatures that would be more consistent for late June...

The Evidence...

Ensembles for next week: 

1. Canadian/American 850hpa temperature predictions                           

CMC

CMC

GFS

GFS

Conclusion: Excellent agreement for a next week warming trend.

Patio weather, all around folks.

But just to be sure, it would be a little irresponsible if we didn't check the NAEFS spread (uncertainty) for next week. Almost like getting a second opinion at a doctor...

Bingo. Some of the lowest spread across the continent includes the Pacific Northwest, adding confidence to beautiful summer-like weather next week

Bingo. Some of the lowest spread across the continent includes the Pacific Northwest, adding confidence to beautiful summer-like weather next week

A Rainy Thursday Ahead

  • models indicating abundant rainfall with the associated frontal system (up to 50 mm close to north shore for 24 hr totals by Friday 12pm.
    • 20-30 mm for appropriate for YVR
    • Below is the Canadian quantitative precipitation forecast through until Friday afternoon
    • Falling freezing level to approximately 1600 metres will promote 5-10 cm of fresh powder for the ski hills (if spring skiing is your thing)

#50ShadesofVan